Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 61,896.35 to 61,263.55, down 1.02%
Market Energy Neutral 16.8% to Neutral 0.1%, down 16.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.10%▲ 0.56%▲ 0.72%▼ 1.02%
Energy▼ 8.0▲ 1.5▲ 4.2▼ 16.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.10%▲ 0.56%▲ 0.72%▼ 1.02%▼ 8.0▲ 1.5▲ 4.2▼ 16.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.02% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.7 pts — higher than 73% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,500 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-05
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,673 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Neutral:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 918 times — 54.9%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 755 times — 45.1%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 0.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 20.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 20.98%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2024-03-01 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
16.8%
Neutral
0.1%
Neutral
8.9%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, Market BTCUSD in the Neutral zone.

The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -16.7% from the previous session, from 16.8% to 0.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -77.1 to +99.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 01-03-2024 closed, BTCUSD was at 61,263.55, down 1.02% from the previous candle (61,896.35). Market Energy was 0.1%, down 16.7 points from 16.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 61,263.55, down 1.02% from the previous 4H candle (61,896.35). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 11,320 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 16.8% to 0.1%. This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 16.8%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 0.1%, BTCUSD is 20.78 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 20.98 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -15%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Neutral, 0.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.4%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 8.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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