Analysis

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BTCUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Bias zone. Measured energy: -42.0%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Bias BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,247 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,475 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 935 times63.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 540 times36.6%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -41.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 21.07%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 18.05%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2023-08-21 12:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-47.9%
Bear Bias
-42.0%
Bear Bias
-16.3%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, BTCUSD reflects Bear Bias.

On the measurement side, Market Energy moved from -47.9% to -42%, up +5.9% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.6 to -1.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was BTCUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 21-08-2023 closed, BTCUSD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -47.9% to -42%.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -47.9%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -42%, BTCUSD is 21.07 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 18.05 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 33.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 48.6%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Bias, -42%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -50.4%. BTCUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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