Analysis

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BTCUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Bias zone. Measured energy: -24.7%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Bias BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,241 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-23
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,475 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 935 times63.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 540 times36.6%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -24.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 3.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 35.33%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2022-10-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-28.1%
Bear Bias
-24.7%
Bear Bias
-26.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, BTCUSD in the Bear Bias state.

On the energy side, Market Energy reading rose +3.4%, moving from -28.1% to -24.7% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -66.1 to +75.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was BTCUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 21-10-2022 closed, BTCUSD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -24.7%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -28.1% to -24.7%.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -28.1%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -24.7%, BTCUSD is 3.79 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 35.33 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -48.6%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Bias, -24.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 45.9%. BTCUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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