Analysis

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BTCUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Extreme zone. Measured energy: -99.3%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,247 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 650 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 650 times100%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -99.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 24.8%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 0.7%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2022-01-21 04:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-100.0%
Bear Extreme
-99.3%
Bear Extreme
-96.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, Market Energy of BTCUSD indicates Bear Extreme.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy moved from -100% to -99.3%, up +0.7% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -100 to +85.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was BTCUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 21-01-2022 closed, BTCUSD was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -99.3%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -100% to -99.3%.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -100%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -99.3%, BTCUSD is 24.8 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 0.7 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -87.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Extreme, -99.3%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -37.3%. BTCUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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