Analysis

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BTCUSD is currently leaning slightly toward sellers, energy -12.5%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,247 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-24
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,646 times

When BTCUSD is in Neutral:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 904 times54.9%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 742 times45.1%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -12.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 33.42%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 8.34%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2021-10-24 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-45.8%
Bear Bias
-12.5%
Neutral
60.8%
Bull Critical
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

BTCUSD recorded in the neutral energy zone as the 4H candle ended.

On trend energy, Compared to the previous candle (-45.8%), Market Energy rose +33.2% to -12.5%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.9 to +99.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was BTCUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 25-10-2021 closed, BTCUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy -12.5%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 33.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -45.8% to -12.5%.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -45.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -12.5%, BTCUSD is 33.42 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 8.34 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -49.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.1%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Neutral, -12.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.2%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 20.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

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