Analysis

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BTCUSD is currently leaning slightly toward sellers, energy -12.4%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,241 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-23
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,644 times

When BTCUSD is in Neutral:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 902 times54.9%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 742 times45.1%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -12.38%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 33.26%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 8.5%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2021-08-22 12:00 UTC
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Market Energy
29.9%
Bull Bias
-12.4%
Neutral
-10.5%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, Result for BTCUSD: neutral energy.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Energy delta -42.2%: Market Energy at -12.4%, previously 29.9%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.1 to +97.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was BTCUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 22-08-2021 closed, BTCUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy -12.4%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 42.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 29.9% to -12.4%.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 29.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -12.4%, BTCUSD is 33.26 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 8.5 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Neutral, -12.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -84.1%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 71.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

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