Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 43,727.06 to 43,246.75, down 1.10%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 94.6% to Bull Extreme 86.6%, down 8.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.68%▼ 0.20%▲ 2.07%▼ 1.10%
Energy▲ 15.2▼ 3.0▲ 1.6▼ 8.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.68%▼ 0.20%▲ 2.07%▼ 1.10%▲ 15.2▼ 3.0▲ 1.6▼ 8.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.10% — higher than 73% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.0 pts — higher than 48% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,512 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 802 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 802 times — 100%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 86.63%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 13.37%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 12.13%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2021-08-07 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
94.6%
Bull Extreme
86.6%
Bull Extreme
83.4%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, BTCUSD reflects the Bull Extreme state.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -8% this candle, currently 86.6% (previous candle 94.6%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -64.8 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 07-08-2021 closed, BTCUSD was at 43,246.75, down 1.1% from the previous candle (43,727.06). Market Energy was 86.6%, down 8.0 points from 94.6%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 43,246.75, down 1.1% from the previous 4H candle (43,727.06). This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 5,696 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 94.6% to 86.6%. This drop is larger than 48% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 94.6%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 86.6%, BTCUSD is 13.37 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 12.13 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 32.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 11.1%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Extreme, 86.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 89.4%. BTCUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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