Analysis

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BTCUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Extreme zone. Measured energy: -77.3%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,247 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 650 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 650 times100%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -77.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.8%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.7%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2021-03-15 08:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-47.8%
Bear Bias
-77.3%
Bear Extreme
-68.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD within the peak Bear energy level.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Energy delta -29.5%: Market Energy at -77.3%, previously -47.8%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -77.3 to +94.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was BTCUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 15-03-2021 closed, BTCUSD was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -77.3%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 29.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -47.8% to -77.3%.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -47.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.3%, BTCUSD is 2.8 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.7 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 18.7%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Extreme, -77.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -47%. BTCUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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