Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 59,931.02 to 58,997.37, down 1.56%
Market Energy Bull Bias 30.5% to Neutral -20.2%, down 50.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.23%▼ 1.06%▲ 0.41%▼ 1.56%
Energy▼ 15.9▼ 25.3▼ 5.9▼ 50.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.23%▼ 1.06%▲ 0.41%▼ 1.56%▼ 15.9▼ 25.3▼ 5.9▼ 50.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.56% — higher than 84% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 50.7 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,512 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-07
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,675 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Neutral:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 918 times — 54.8%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 757 times — 45.2%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -20.22%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 41.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 0.66%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2021-03-14 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
30.5%
Bull Bias
-20.2%
Neutral
4.4%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, BTCUSD in Neutral of Market Energy.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy dropped -50.7% from the previous candle, from 30.5% to -20.2%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -20.2 to +94.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 15-03-2021 closed, BTCUSD was at 58,997.37, down 1.56% from the previous candle (59,931.02). Market Energy was -20.2%, down 50.7 points from 30.5%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 58,997.37, down 1.56% from the previous 4H candle (59,931.02). This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 4,824 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 50.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 30.5% to -20.2%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 30.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -20.2%, BTCUSD is 41.1 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 0.66 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.7%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Neutral, -20.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 50.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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