Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 32,237.51 to 32,513.14, up 0.85%
Market Energy Bear Bias -23.8% to Neutral 5.6%, up 29.4 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.50%▼ 0.20%▲ 1.50%▲ 0.85%
Energy▲ 9.3▲ 10.6▲ 34.8▲ 29.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.50%▼ 0.20%▲ 1.50%▲ 0.85%▲ 9.3▲ 10.6▲ 34.8▲ 29.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.85% — higher than 66% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 29.4 pts — higher than 85% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,512 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-07
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,675 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Neutral:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 918 times — 54.8%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 757 times — 45.2%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 5.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 15.32%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 26.44%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2021-01-26 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-23.8%
Bear Bias
5.6%
Neutral
-8.1%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

The Neutral energy zone is the result just recorded for BTCUSD after the 4H candle closed.

Market energy movement Market Energy reading rose +29.4%, moving from -23.8% to 5.6% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -85.2 to +82.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 27-01-2021 closed, BTCUSD was at 32,513.14, up 0.86% from the previous candle (32,237.51). Market Energy was 5.6%, up 29.4 points from -23.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 32,513.14, up 0.86% from the previous 4H candle (32,237.51). This rise is larger than 66% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 4,542 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 29.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -23.8% to 5.6%. This rise is larger than 85% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -23.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 5.6%, BTCUSD is 15.32 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 26.44 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -50.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 6.2%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Neutral, 5.6%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -52.1%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 57.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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