Analysis

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BTCUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Critical zone. Measured energy: -69.2%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Critical BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,247 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 879 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 654 times74.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 225 times25.6%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -69.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.23%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.27%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2021-01-26 08:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-78.5%
Bear Extreme
-69.2%
Bear Critical
-58.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD within the Bear Critical measurement.

On the energy side, The energy level rose +9.3%: from -78.5% now at -69.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -97 to +82.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was BTCUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 26-01-2021 closed, BTCUSD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -69.2%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 9.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -78.5% to -69.2%.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -78.5%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.2%, BTCUSD is 9.23 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.27 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.8%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -69.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 6.7%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 75.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

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