Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 10,012.43 to 9,979.65, down 0.33%
Market Energy Bull Bias 23.3% to Neutral 14.7%, down 8.6 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.28%▼ 0.13%▼ 0.23%▼ 0.33%
Energy▼ 5.5▼ 1.0▼ 2.0▼ 8.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.28%▼ 0.13%▼ 0.23%▼ 0.33%▼ 5.5▼ 1.0▼ 2.0▼ 8.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.33% — higher than 41% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.6 pts — higher than 54% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,518 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-08
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,675 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Neutral:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 918 times — 54.8%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 757 times — 45.2%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 14.69%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 6.19%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 35.57%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2019-09-21 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live BTCUSD chart →
Market Energy
23.3%
Bull Bias
14.7%
Neutral
-46.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, Market Energy of BTCUSD indicates the Neutral zone.

Looking at the energy level, A -8.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 14.7% (previous: 23.3%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -72.4 to +77.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 22-09-2019 closed, BTCUSD was at 9,979.65, down 0.33% from the previous candle (10,012.43). Market Energy was 14.7%, down 8.6 points from 23.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 9,979.65, down 0.33% from the previous 4H candle (10,012.43). This drop is larger than 41% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 1,584 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 23.3% to 14.7%. This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 23.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 14.7%, BTCUSD is 6.19 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 35.57 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -84.5%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Neutral, 14.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 10%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 4.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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