Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 9,666.22 to 9,845.94, up 1.86%
Market Energy Bear Bias -36.9% to Bear Bias -51.7%, down 14.8 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 2.54%▼ 0.05%▼ 10.52%▲ 1.86%
Energy▲ 10.2▼ 22.3▼ 108.0▼ 14.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 2.54%▼ 0.05%▼ 10.52%▲ 1.86%▲ 10.2▼ 22.3▼ 108.0▼ 14.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.86%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.8 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,512 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,498 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 953 times — 63.6%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 545 times — 36.4%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -51.75%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 30.87%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 8.25%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2017-11-29 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live BTCUSD chart →
Market Energy
-36.9%
Bear Bias
-51.7%
Bear Bias
-25.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD within the Bear Bias state.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -14.8% from the previous candle, from -36.9% to -51.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -51.7 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 30-11-2017 closed, BTCUSD was at 9,845.94, up 1.86% from the previous candle (9,666.22). Market Energy was -51.7%, down 14.8 points from -36.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 9,845.94, up 1.86% from the previous 4H candle (9,666.22).

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -36.9% to -51.7%.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -36.9%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -51.7%, BTCUSD is 30.87 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 8.25 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -59.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.3%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Bias, -51.7%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -30.8%. BTCUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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