Analysis

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BTCUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Critical zone. Measured energy: -73.1%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Critical BTCUSD Daily

Sample: 5,687 Daily candles from 2011-01-20 to 2026-08-23
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 228 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 166 times72.8%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 62 times27.2%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -73.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.4%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · D1 · 2016-03-06 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-87.9%
Bear Extreme
-73.1%
Bear Critical
-51.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle closes, BTCUSD in the near-peak Bear energy zone.

On trend energy, Market Energy moved from -87.9% to -73.1%, up +14.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -87.9 to +39.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was BTCUSD on Daily when this candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 06-03-2016 closed, BTCUSD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -73.1%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 14.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -87.9% to -73.1%.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had BTCUSD at -87.9%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.1%, BTCUSD is 13.1 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.4 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 8.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -16.2%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -73.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -49.3%. BTCUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

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