Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 19.1 to 16.53, down 13.46%
Market Energy Bear Bias -28.3% to Bear Critical -64.3%, down 36.0 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price10.96%0.77%9.22%13.46%
Energy23.02.013.236.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
10.96% 0.77% 9.22% 13.46% 23.0 2.0 13.2 36.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 13.46% — higher than 72% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 36.0 pts — higher than 89% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AVAXUSD Weekly

Sample: 312 Weekly candles from 2020-09-28 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 22 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 16 times72.7%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 6 times27.3%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -64.31%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.31%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.19%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · W1 · 2025-06-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
-28.3%
Bear Bias
-64.3%
Bear Critical
-51.8%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

AVAXUSD recorded in the near-peak Bear energy level as the Weekly candle ended.

Observing the AVAXUSD market this session, Market Energy dropped -36% from the previous session, from -28.3% to -64.3%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 16-06-2025 closed, AVAXUSD was at 16.53, down 13.46% from the previous candle (19.1). Market Energy was -64.3%, down 36.0 points from -28.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 16.53, down 13.46% from the previous Weekly candle (19.1). This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 246 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 36 percentage points from the previous candle — from -28.3% to -64.3%. This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had AVAXUSD at -28.3%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64.3%, AVAXUSD is 4.31 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.19 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -1.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.7%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Critical, -64.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.1%. AVAXUSD energy is currently below DXY by 44.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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