Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 6.15 to 5.992, down 2.57%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -88.9% to Bear Extreme -98.9%, down 10.0 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.78%0.60%2.66%2.57%
Energy3.27.15.210.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.78% 0.60% 2.66% 2.57% 3.2 7.1 5.2 10.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.57% — higher than 82% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.0 pts — higher than 49% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,070 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 418 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 418 times100%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -98.85%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 24.35%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 1.15%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-06-19 04:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-88.9%
Bear Extreme
-98.9%
Bear Extreme
-93.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, AVAXUSD reflects the extreme Bear energy level.

Market energy measurement A -10% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -98.9% (previous: -88.9%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.9 to +98.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 19-06-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 5.992, down 2.57% from the previous candle (6.15). Market Energy was -98.9%, down 10.0 points from -88.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 5.992, down 2.57% from the previous 4H candle (6.15). This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 12,575 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10 percentage points from the previous candle — from -88.9% to -98.9%. This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at -88.9%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -98.9%, AVAXUSD is 24.35 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 1.15 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -92.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.1%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Extreme, -98.9%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 81.9%. AVAXUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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