Analysis

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AUDUSD is currently controlled by buyers, in the Bull Critical zone. Measured energy: +65.1%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Critical AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,115 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-27
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 570 times

When AUDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 177 times31.1%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 393 times68.9%

Current AUDUSD market energy: 65.06%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 9.44%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 5.06%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-08-17 01:00 UTC
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Market Energy
53.6%
Bull Bias
65.1%
Bull Critical
80.7%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, AUDUSD noted at the near-peak Bull energy zone.

The market energy reading The energy level rose +11.5%: from 53.6% now at 65.1%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -28.6 to +70.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was AUDUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 17-08-2026 closed, AUDUSD was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 65.1%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 53.6% to 65.1%.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at 53.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 65.1%, AUDUSD is 9.44 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 5.06 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 23.4%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bull Critical, 65.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -24.2%. AUDUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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