Analysis

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AUDUSD is currently leaning slightly toward buyers, energy +14.9%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,111 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-26
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,993 times

When AUDUSD is in Neutral:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,022 times51.3%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 971 times48.7%

Current AUDUSD market energy: 14.92%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 5.96%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 35.8%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-07-21 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
46.8%
Bull Bias
14.9%
Neutral
-8.3%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, AUDUSD currently in the balanced trend energy zone.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, The energy level dropped -31.8%: from 46.8% now at 14.9%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -59.9 to +53.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was AUDUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 21-07-2026 closed, AUDUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 14.9%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 31.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 46.8% to 14.9%.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at 46.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 14.9%, AUDUSD is 5.96 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 35.8 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -8.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 14%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Neutral, 14.9%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 72.6%. AUDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 57.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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