Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.9612 to 1.027, up 6.85%
Market Energy Bull Critical 60.8% to Bull Extreme 80.5%, up 19.7 pts
Up candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.64%▲ 0.22%▲ 0.43%▲ 6.85%
Energy▼ 10.0▼ 8.6▼ 0.2▲ 19.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.64%▲ 0.22%▲ 0.43%▲ 6.85%▼ 10.0▼ 8.6▼ 0.2▲ 19.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 6.85% — higher than 98% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 19.7 pts — higher than 81% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,565 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 259 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 259 times — 100%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 80.46%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 19.54%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 5.96%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2025-01-03 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
60.8%
Bull Critical
80.5%
Bull Extreme
88.2%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, ADAUSD recorded in the trend energy Bull Extreme.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, The energy level rose +19.7%: from 60.8% now at 80.5%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -64.5 to +80.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 03-01-2025 closed, ADAUSD was at 1.027, up 6.85% from the previous candle (0.9612). Market Energy was 80.5%, up 19.7 points from 60.8%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 1.027, up 6.85% from the previous 4H candle (0.9612). This rise is larger than 98% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 13,160 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 19.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 60.8% to 80.5%. This rise is larger than 81% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 60.8%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 80.5%, ADAUSD is 19.54 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 5.96 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -34.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26.1%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Extreme, 80.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 76.6%. ADAUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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