Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.4276 to 0.4469, up 4.51%
Market Energy Neutral -8.9% to Bull Critical 61.3%, up 70.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.12%▼ 0.14%▼ 0.58%▲ 4.51%
Energy▼ 8.7▼ 0.5▲ 0.7▲ 70.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.12%▼ 0.14%▼ 0.58%▲ 4.51%▼ 8.7▼ 0.5▲ 0.7▲ 70.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 4.51% — higher than 95% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 70.1 pts — higher than 99% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,557 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 523 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 135 times — 25.8%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 388 times — 74.2%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 61.27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 13.23%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.27%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2024-07-21 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-8.9%
Neutral
61.3%
Bull Critical
50.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, ADAUSD reflects Bull Critical.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy reading rose +70.1%, moving from -8.9% to 61.3% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -63.3 to +61.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 22-07-2024 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.4469, up 4.51% from the previous candle (0.4276). Market Energy was 61.3%, up 70.1 points from -8.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.4469, up 4.51% from the previous 4H candle (0.4276). This rise is larger than 95% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 12,169 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 70.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -8.9% to 61.3%. This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -8.9%, Neutral — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Critical.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 61.3%, ADAUSD is 13.23 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.27 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -47%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -36.9%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Critical, 61.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 15.1%. ADAUSD energy is currently above DXY by 46.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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