Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.07255 to 0.0719, down 0.90%
Market Energy Bear Critical -73.2% to Bear Critical -70.6%, up 2.6 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.04%▼ 1.13%▼ 5.06%▼ 0.90%
Energy▲ 2.8▼ 7.7▼ 47.6▲ 2.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.04%▼ 1.13%▼ 5.06%▼ 0.90%▲ 2.8▼ 7.7▼ 47.6▲ 2.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.90% — higher than 49% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.6 pts — higher than 17% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,567 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 490 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 385 times — 78.6%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 105 times — 21.4%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: -70.59%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.59%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.91%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2020-06-15 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
-73.2%
Bear Critical
-70.6%
Bear Critical
-62.1%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, ADAUSD within Bear trend energy near extreme.

End-of-session update for 4H, Market Energy reading rose +2.6%, moving from -73.2% to -70.6% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -82.6 to +13.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 15-06-2020 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.0719, down 0.9% from the previous candle (0.07255). Market Energy was -70.6%, up 2.6 points from -73.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.0719, down 0.9% from the previous 4H candle (0.07255). This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 3,183 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -73.2% to -70.6%. This rise is larger than 17% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -73.2%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.6%, ADAUSD is 10.59 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.91 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -54.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.6%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -70.6%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.4%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 50.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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