Analysis

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ADAUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Critical zone. Measured energy: -65.3%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Critical ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,294 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-08-23
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 479 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 375 times78.3%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 104 times21.7%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -65.27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.27%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.23%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2018-08-20 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-31.6%
Bear Bias
-65.3%
Bear Critical
-64.8%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Market ADAUSD in the Bear Critical reading.

The energy side shows Market trend energy recorded a -33.6% drop from the previous candle, from -31.6% to -65.3%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -65.3 to +72.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was ADAUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 21-08-2018 closed, ADAUSD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -65.3%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 33.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -31.6% to -65.3%.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -31.6%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -65.3%, ADAUSD is 5.27 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 9.23 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -6.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -44.2%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -65.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.9%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 62.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

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