Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 1.259 to 1.252, down 0.56%
Market Energy Neutral 12.6% to Bear Bias -26.3%, down 38.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.32%▲ 0.32%▼ 0.47%▼ 0.56%
Energy▼ 14.4▼ 2.4▼ 13.8▼ 38.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.32%▲ 0.32%▼ 0.47%▼ 0.56%▼ 14.4▼ 2.4▼ 13.8▼ 38.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.56% — higher than 52% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 38.9 pts — higher than 96% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 74,233 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,608 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 4,175 times — 74.4%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,433 times — 25.6%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: -26.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 5.4%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 33.72%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2021-12-21 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
12.6%
Neutral
-26.3%
Bear Bias
-14.3%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, ADAUSD in the energy level leaning Bear.

The ADAUSD market at session end, Market Energy dropped -38.9% from the previous candle, from 12.6% to -26.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -74.1 to +90.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 21-12-2021 closed, ADAUSD was at 1.252, down 0.56% from the previous candle (1.259). Market Energy was -26.3%, down 38.9 points from 12.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 1.252, down 0.56% from the previous 1H candle (1.259). This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 25,994 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 38.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 12.6% to -26.3%. This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at 12.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -26.3%, ADAUSD is 5.4 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 33.72 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -18.6%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Bias, -26.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -54.6%. ADAUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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