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Research

VPI 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
4,001 VPI 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme★★217 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical269 times
↑42%
↓58%
Bull Bias342 times
↑45.9%
↓54.1%
Neutral274 times
↑60.2%
↓39.8%
Bear Bias277 times
↑52.7%
↓47.3%
Bear Critical204 times
↑65.2%
↓34.8%
Bear Extreme194 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Extreme→Buyers→

VPI — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 194 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 194 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

VPI — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 204 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 133 times — 65.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 71 times — 34.8%

VPI — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 277 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 146 times — 52.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 131 times — 47.3%

VPI — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 274 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 165 times — 60.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 109 times — 39.8%

VPI — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 342 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 157 times — 45.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 185 times — 54.1%

VPI — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 269 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 113 times — 42%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 156 times — 58%

VPI — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 217 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 217 times — 100%

Current market energy at 99.76%
Distance to peak 100%: 0.24 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 25.26 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of VPI?

Historically, when VPI was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 217 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 99.76%, 0.24 points from the upper bound and 25.26 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,001 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing VPI's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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