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Research

VMD W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
746 VMD W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-12 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme40 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical★★44 times
↑29.5%
↓70.5%
Bull Bias65 times
↑47.7%
↓52.3%
Neutral47 times
↑57.4%
↓42.6%
Bear Bias39 times
↑71.8%
↓28.2%
Bear Critical16 times
↑68.8%
↓31.3%
Bear Extreme11 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Critical→Buyers→

VMD — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 11 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

VMD — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 16 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 68.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 5 times — 31.3%

VMD — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 39 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times — 71.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times — 28.2%

VMD — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 47 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 27 times — 57.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times — 42.6%

VMD — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 65 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 31 times — 47.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 34 times — 52.3%

VMD — Bull Critical — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 29.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 70.5%

Current market energy at 63.4%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.1 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.4 points

VMD — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 40 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of VMD?

Historically, when VMD was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 29.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 70.5% of the time (across 44 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 63.4%, 11.1 points from the upper bound and 3.4 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 746 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing VMD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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