Research

VMC 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,231 VMC 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

VMC — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 137 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 137 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

VMC — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 71 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 44 times — 62%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 38%

VMC — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 137 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 81 times — 59.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 56 times — 40.9%

VMC — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 128 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 68 times — 53.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 60 times — 46.9%

VMC — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 136 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 66 times — 48.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 70 times — 51.5%

VMC — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 95 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 43 times — 45.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 52 times — 54.7%

VMC — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 124 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 124 times — 100%

Current market energy at 97.95%
Distance to peak 100%: 2.05 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 23.45 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of VMC?

Historically, when VMC was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 124 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 97.95%, 2.05 points from the upper bound and 23.45 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,231 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing VMC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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