Research

VCM 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
864 VCM 1H candles
Period
2023-08-02 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

VCM — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 79 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 79 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

VCM — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 27 times — 58.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 19 times — 41.3%

VCM — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 66 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times — 42.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times — 57.6%

Current market energy at -27.84%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 6.96 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 32.16 points

VCM — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 52.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times — 47.6%

VCM — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 40.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 59.1%

VCM — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 29 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 10 times — 34.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 19 times — 65.5%

VCM — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 74 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 74 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of VCM?

Historically, when VCM was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 42.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 57.6% of the time (across 66 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -27.84%, 6.96 points from the upper bound and 32.16 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 864 candles from 2023-08-02 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing VCM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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