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Research

UK100 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
15,637 UK100 4H candles
Period
2014-07-21 – 2026-10-22 (12.3 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme710 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical960 times
↑34.9%
↓65.1%
Bull Bias★★1,491 times
↑44.2%
↓55.8%
Neutral1,469 times
↑53.4%
↓46.6%
Bear Bias1,321 times
↑63.7%
↓36.3%
Bear Critical753 times
↑70.3%
↓29.7%
Bear Extreme578 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Bias→Buyers→

UK100 — Bear Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 578 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 578 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

UK100 — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 753 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 529 times — 70.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 224 times — 29.7%

UK100 — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,321 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 841 times — 63.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 480 times — 36.3%

UK100 — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 1,469 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 785 times — 53.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 684 times — 46.6%

UK100 — Bull Bias — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 1,491 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 659 times — 44.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 832 times — 55.8%

Current market energy at 37.34%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 22.66 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 16.46 points

UK100 — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 960 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 335 times — 34.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 625 times — 65.1%

UK100 — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 710 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 710 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of UK100?

Historically, when UK100 was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 44.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 55.8% of the time (across 1,491 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 37.34%, 22.66 points from the upper bound and 16.46 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 15,637 candles from 2014-07-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing UK100's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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