Research

TUG 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
453 TUG 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

TUG — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 28 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

TUG — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 16 times — 84.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3 times — 15.8%

TUG — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 27 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 40.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times — 59.3%

Current market energy at -34.88%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 14 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.12 points

TUG — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 16 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 9 times — 56.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times — 43.8%

TUG — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 60%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times — 40%

TUG — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 21 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 52.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times — 47.6%

TUG — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 45 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 45 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TUG?

Historically, when TUG was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 40.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 59.3% of the time (across 27 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -34.88%, 14 points from the upper bound and 25.12 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 453 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TUG's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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