Research

TPB D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,124 TPB D candles
Period
2018-04-20 – 2026-10-22 (8.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

TPB — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 70 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 70 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

TPB — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 78 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 60 times — 76.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 23.1%

TPB — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 145 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 97 times — 66.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 48 times — 33.1%

TPB — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 181 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 97 times — 53.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 84 times — 46.4%

TPB — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 191 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 71 times — 37.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 120 times — 62.8%

TPB — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 116 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 34 times — 29.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 82 times — 70.7%

TPB — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 106 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 106 times — 100%

Current market energy at 89.26%
Distance to peak 100%: 10.74 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 14.76 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TPB?

Historically, when TPB was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 106 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 89.26%, 10.74 points from the upper bound and 14.76 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,124 candles from 2018-04-20 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TPB's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .