Research

TOS D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,147 TOS D candles
Period
2021-09-09 – 2026-10-22 (5.1 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

TOS — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 53 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 53 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

TOS — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 41 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times — 61%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times — 39%

TOS — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 67 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 37 times — 55.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 44.8%

TOS — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 79 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 48 times — 60.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 39.2%

TOS — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 85 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 40 times — 47.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 45 times — 52.9%

TOS — Bull Critical — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 61 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times — 34.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times — 65.6%

Current market energy at 73.95%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 0.55 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.95 points

TOS — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 61 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TOS?

Historically, when TOS was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 34.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 65.6% of the time (across 61 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 73.95%, 0.55 points from the upper bound and 13.95 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,147 candles from 2021-09-09 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TOS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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