Research

TED D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 557 candles D from 2022-05-11 to 2026-08-21

TEDBear Extreme D

Occurrences: 52 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 52 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

TEDBear Critical D

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times 68%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 8 times 32%

TEDBear Bias D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times 50%

Current market energy at -55.5%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 34.62 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 4.5 points

TEDNeutral D

Occurrences: 32 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 16 times 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times 50%

TEDBull Bias D

Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times 54.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times 45.5%

TEDBull Critical D

Occurrences: 47 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times 42.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times 57.4%

TEDBull Extreme D

Occurrences: 62 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 62 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TED?

Historically, when TED was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 50% of the time and down to a lower zone 50% of the time (across 46 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -55.5%, 34.62 points from the upper bound and 4.5 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 557 candles from 2022-05-11 to 2026-08-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TED's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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