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Research

TDM D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,589 TDM D candles
Period
2016-04-04 – 2026-10-20 (10.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme★★123 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical126 times
↑40.5%
↓59.5%
Bull Bias172 times
↑46.5%
↓53.5%
Neutral149 times
↑56.4%
↓43.6%
Bear Bias121 times
↑62%
↓38%
Bear Critical76 times
↑67.1%
↓32.9%
Bear Extreme88 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Extreme→Buyers→

TDM — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 88 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 88 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

TDM — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 76 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 51 times — 67.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 32.9%

TDM — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 121 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 75 times — 62%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 46 times — 38%

TDM — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 149 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 84 times — 56.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 65 times — 43.6%

TDM — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 172 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 80 times — 46.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 92 times — 53.5%

TDM — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 126 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 51 times — 40.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 75 times — 59.5%

TDM — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 123 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 123 times — 100%

Current market energy at 97.63%
Distance to peak 100%: 2.37 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 23.13 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TDM?

Historically, when TDM was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 123 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 97.63%, 2.37 points from the upper bound and 23.13 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,589 candles from 2016-04-04 to 2026-10-20, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TDM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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