Research

TCW 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,835 TCW 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

TCW — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 191 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 191 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

TCW — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 105 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 57 times — 54.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 48 times — 45.7%

TCW — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 158 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 78 times — 49.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 80 times — 50.6%

Current market energy at -50.87%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 29.99 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 9.13 points

TCW — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 133 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 64 times — 48.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 69 times — 51.9%

TCW — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 149 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 69 times — 46.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 80 times — 53.7%

TCW — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 93 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 36 times — 38.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 57 times — 61.3%

TCW — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 169 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 169 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TCW?

Historically, when TCW was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 49.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 50.6% of the time (across 158 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -50.87%, 29.99 points from the upper bound and 9.13 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,835 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TCW's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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