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Research

TCT 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,664 TCT 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme146 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical87 times
↑48.3%
↓51.7%
Bull Bias127 times
↑46.5%
↓53.5%
Neutral118 times
↑49.2%
↓50.8%
Bear Bias140 times
↑47.1%
↓52.9%
Bear Critical92 times
↑51.1%
↓48.9%
Bear Extreme★★163 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

TCT — Bear Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 163 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 163 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -85.01%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 10.51 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 14.99 points

TCT — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 92 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 51.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 45 times — 48.9%

TCT — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 140 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 66 times — 47.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 74 times — 52.9%

TCT — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 118 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 58 times — 49.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 60 times — 50.8%

TCT — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 127 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 59 times — 46.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 68 times — 53.5%

TCT — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 87 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 42 times — 48.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 45 times — 51.7%

TCT — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 146 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 146 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TCT?

Historically, when TCT was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 163 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -85.01%, 10.51 points from the upper bound and 14.99 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,664 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TCT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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