Research

SPM W — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 738 candles W from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-17

SPMBear Extreme W

Occurrences: 14 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

SPMBear Critical W

Occurrences: 17 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times 82.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3 times 17.6%

SPMBear Bias W

Occurrences: 52 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 42 times 80.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times 19.2%

SPMNeutral W

Occurrences: 59 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times 54.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times 45.8%

SPMBull Bias W

Occurrences: 70 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times 50%

SPMBull Critical W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 34 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times 20.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times 79.4%

Current market energy at 70.1%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.4 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 10.1 points

SPMBull Extreme W

Occurrences: 24 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SPM?

Historically, when SPM was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 20.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 79.4% of the time (across 34 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 70.1%, 4.4 points from the upper bound and 10.1 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 738 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-17, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SPM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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