Research

SPI 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 1,434 candles 1H from 2023-07-31 to 2025-02-14

SPIBear Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 50 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 50 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

SPIBear Critical 1H

Occurrences: 29 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times 72.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 8 times 27.6%

SPIBear Bias 1H

Occurrences: 86 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 56 times 65.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times 34.9%

SPINeutral 1H

Occurrences: 96 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 54 times 56.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 42 times 43.8%

SPIBull Bias 1H

Occurrences: 99 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 43 times 43.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 56 times 56.6%

SPIBull Critical 1H

Occurrences: 69 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times 31.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 47 times 68.1%

SPIBull Extreme 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 65 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 65 times 100%

Current market energy at 99.8%
Distance to peak 100%: 0.2 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 25.3 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SPI?

Historically, when SPI was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 65 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 99.8%, 0.2 points from the upper bound and 25.3 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,434 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2025-02-14, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SPI's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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