Research

SMT W — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 742 candles W from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-17

SMTBear Extreme W

Occurrences: 10 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 10 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

SMTBear Critical W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 10 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times 70%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3 times 30%

Current market energy at -70.5%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.5 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4 points

SMTBear Bias W

Occurrences: 26 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times 65.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 9 times 34.6%

SMTNeutral W

Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times 54.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times 45.5%

SMTBull Bias W

Occurrences: 55 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times 52.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times 47.3%

SMTBull Critical W

Occurrences: 45 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times 42.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times 57.8%

SMTBull Extreme W

Occurrences: 40 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SMT?

Historically, when SMT was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 70% of the time and down to a lower zone 30% of the time (across 10 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -70.5%, 10.5 points from the upper bound and 4 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 742 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-17, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SMT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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