Research

SMT 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 1,946 candles 1H from 2023-07-31 to 2026-08-28

SMTBear Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 138 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 138 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

SMTBear Critical 1H

Occurrences: 80 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times 58.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times 41.3%

SMTBear Bias 1H

Occurrences: 124 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 71 times 57.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 53 times 42.7%

SMTNeutral 1H

Occurrences: 113 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 55 times 48.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 58 times 51.3%

SMTBull Bias 1H

Occurrences: 110 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 54 times 49.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 56 times 50.9%

SMTBull Critical 1H

Occurrences: 74 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times 52.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times 47.3%

SMTBull Extreme 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 133 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 133 times 100%

Current market energy at 91.5%
Distance to peak 100%: 8.5 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 17 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SMT?

Historically, when SMT was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 133 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 91.5%, 8.5 points from the upper bound and 17 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,946 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SMT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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