Research

PVT 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
4,021 PVT 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

PVT — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 159 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 159 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

PVT — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 203 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 126 times — 62.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 77 times — 37.9%

PVT — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 300 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 172 times — 57.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 128 times — 42.7%

Current market energy at -23.19%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 2.31 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 36.81 points

PVT — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 292 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 129 times — 44.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 163 times — 55.8%

PVT — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 279 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 111 times — 39.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 168 times — 60.2%

PVT — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 201 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 52 times — 25.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 149 times — 74.1%

PVT — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 162 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 162 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of PVT?

Historically, when PVT was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 57.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 42.7% of the time (across 300 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -23.19%, 2.31 points from the upper bound and 36.81 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,021 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing PVT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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