Research

PVI 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,820 PVI 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

PVI — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 217 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 217 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

PVI — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 190 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 115 times — 60.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 75 times — 39.5%

PVI — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 263 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 140 times — 53.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 123 times — 46.8%

PVI — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 261 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 138 times — 52.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 123 times — 47.1%

PVI — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 284 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 102 times — 35.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 182 times — 64.1%

PVI — Bull Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 191 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 62 times — 32.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 129 times — 67.5%

Current market energy at 72.58%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.92 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.58 points

PVI — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 199 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 199 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of PVI?

Historically, when PVI was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 32.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 67.5% of the time (across 191 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 72.58%, 1.92 points from the upper bound and 12.58 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,820 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing PVI's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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