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Research

NTP W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
750 NTP W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-12 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme46 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical56 times
↑35.7%
↓64.3%
Bull Bias★★68 times
↑47.1%
↓52.9%
Neutral52 times
↑59.6%
↓40.4%
Bear Bias44 times
↑52.3%
↓47.7%
Bear Critical27 times
↑81.5%
↓18.5%
Bear Extreme14 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Bias→Buyers→

NTP — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 14 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NTP — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 27 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 81.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 5 times — 18.5%

NTP — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 52.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times — 47.7%

NTP — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 52 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 31 times — 59.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times — 40.4%

NTP — Bull Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 68 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times — 47.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 52.9%

Current market energy at 47.5%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 12.5 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 26.62 points

NTP — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 56 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times — 35.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 64.3%

NTP — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 46 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NTP?

Historically, when NTP was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 47.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 52.9% of the time (across 68 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 47.5%, 12.5 points from the upper bound and 26.62 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 750 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NTP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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