Research

NTC D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,445 NTC D candles
Period
2016-12-20 – 2026-10-22 (9.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

NTC — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 90 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 90 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NTC — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 119 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 81 times — 68.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times — 31.9%

NTC — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 159 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 89 times — 56%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 70 times — 44%

NTC — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 143 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 72 times — 50.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 71 times — 49.7%

NTC — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 182 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 94 times — 51.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 88 times — 48.4%

NTC — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 147 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 50 times — 34%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 97 times — 66%

NTC — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 121 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 121 times — 100%

Current market energy at 97.18%
Distance to peak 100%: 2.82 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 22.68 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NTC?

Historically, when NTC was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 121 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 97.18%, 2.82 points from the upper bound and 22.68 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,445 candles from 2016-12-20 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NTC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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