Research

NDX 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NDX on the NDX Stock overview →

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Sample: 1,514 candles 1H from 2023-07-31 to 2026-08-26

NDXBear Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 64 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 64 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

NDXBear Critical 1H

Occurrences: 31 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times 67.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times 32.3%

NDXBear Bias 1H

Occurrences: 76 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 46 times 60.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times 39.5%

NDXNeutral 1H

Occurrences: 76 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 48 times 63.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times 36.8%

NDXBull Bias 1H

Occurrences: 102 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 57 times 55.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 45 times 44.1%

NDXBull Critical 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 64 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times 46.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 34 times 53.1%

Current market energy at 63.9%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 10.6 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.9 points

NDXBull Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 102 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 102 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NDX?

Historically, when NDX was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 46.9% of the time and down to a lower zone 53.1% of the time (across 64 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 63.9%, 10.6 points from the upper bound and 3.9 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,514 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-08-26, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NDX's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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