Research

NDX D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NDX on the NDX Stock overview →

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Sample: 3,082 candles D from 2013-07-18 to 2026-08-26

NDXBear Extreme D

Occurrences: 89 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 89 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

NDXBear Critical D

Occurrences: 86 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 53 times 61.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times 38.4%

NDXBear Bias D

Occurrences: 138 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 95 times 68.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times 31.2%

NDXNeutral D

Occurrences: 171 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 96 times 56.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 75 times 43.9%

NDXBull Bias D

Occurrences: 218 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 127 times 58.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 91 times 41.7%

NDXBull Critical D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 189 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 75 times 39.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 114 times 60.3%

Current market energy at 73.2%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.3 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.2 points

NDXBull Extreme D

Occurrences: 169 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 169 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NDX?

Historically, when NDX was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 39.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 60.3% of the time (across 189 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 73.2%, 1.3 points from the upper bound and 13.2 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,082 candles from 2013-07-18 to 2026-08-26, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NDX's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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