Research

NDF D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 1,784 candles D from 2014-09-15 to 2023-02-24

NDFBear Extreme D

Occurrences: 63 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 63 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

NDFBear Critical D

Occurrences: 50 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times 60%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times 40%

NDFBear Bias D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 88 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 49 times 55.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times 44.3%

Current market energy at -35.2%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 14.32 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 24.8 points

NDFNeutral D

Occurrences: 87 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times 44.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 48 times 55.2%

NDFBull Bias D

Occurrences: 78 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times 44.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times 55.1%

NDFBull Critical D

Occurrences: 58 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times 43.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times 56.9%

NDFBull Extreme D

Occurrences: 71 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 71 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NDF?

Historically, when NDF was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 55.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 44.3% of the time (across 88 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -35.2%, 14.32 points from the upper bound and 24.8 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,784 candles from 2014-09-15 to 2023-02-24, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NDF's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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