Research

NAW D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,076 NAW D candles
Period
2017-08-07 – 2026-10-16 (9.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

NAW — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 23 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NAW — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 7 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1 times — 14.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times — 85.7%

NAW — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times — 63.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times — 36.8%

Current market energy at -45.3%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 24.42 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 14.7 points

NAW — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 24 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 45.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 13 times — 54.2%

NAW — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 20 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 6 times — 30%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 14 times — 70%

NAW — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 8 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3 times — 37.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 5 times — 62.5%

NAW — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 21 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NAW?

Historically, when NAW was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 63.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 36.8% of the time (across 19 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -45.3%, 24.42 points from the upper bound and 14.7 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,076 candles from 2017-08-07 to 2026-10-16, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NAW's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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