Research

NAS D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,791 NAS D candles
Period
2017-02-02 – 2026-10-22 (9.7 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

NAS — Bear Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 114 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 114 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -86.95%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 12.45 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 13.05 points

NAS — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 67 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 36 times — 53.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 46.3%

NAS — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 95 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 50 times — 52.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 45 times — 47.4%

NAS — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 73 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times — 41.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 58.9%

NAS — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 101 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 51 times — 50.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 50 times — 49.5%

NAS — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 63 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times — 38.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 61.9%

NAS — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 116 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 116 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NAS?

Historically, when NAS was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 114 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -86.95%, 12.45 points from the upper bound and 13.05 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,791 candles from 2017-02-02 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NAS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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