Research

NAB 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,986 NAB 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

NAB — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 70 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 70 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NAB — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 89 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 64 times — 71.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 28.1%

NAB — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 218 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 161 times — 73.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 57 times — 26.1%

NAB — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 340 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 189 times — 55.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 151 times — 44.4%

NAB — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 318 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 108 times — 34%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 210 times — 66%

NAB — Bull Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 202 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 59 times — 29.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 143 times — 70.8%

Current market energy at 60.17%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 14.33 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.17 points

NAB — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 152 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 152 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NAB?

Historically, when NAB was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 29.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 70.8% of the time (across 202 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 60.17%, 14.33 points from the upper bound and 0.17 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,986 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NAB's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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