Research

MVC 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,096 MVC 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MVC — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 147 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 147 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MVC — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 88 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 53 times — 60.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times — 39.8%

MVC — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 168 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 106 times — 63.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 62 times — 36.9%

MVC — Neutral — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 193 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 98 times — 50.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 95 times — 49.2%

Current market energy at -3.45%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 24.33 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 17.43 points

MVC — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 211 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 104 times — 49.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 107 times — 50.7%

MVC — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 178 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 78 times — 43.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 100 times — 56.2%

MVC — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 184 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 184 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MVC?

Historically, when MVC was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 50.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 49.2% of the time (across 193 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -3.45%, 24.33 points from the upper bound and 17.43 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,096 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MVC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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